Show Transcript. Thats according to a new poll conducted by Public Policy Polling for NM Political Report. Should a candidate declare victory or offer a concession before the AP calls a race, we will cover newsworthy developments in our reporting. Your account has been registered, and you are now logged in. Lujan Grisham holds a large lead among those who voted for Biden in 2020, 86 percent to 6 percent, with 4 percent saying they would vote for Bedonie. View all Michelle Lujan Grisham articles . Public Policy Polling called landlines and text messaged those without landlines. ET on Wednesday, with the remaining votes counted in 2020 by 7:30 p.m. Find election results and our interactive county-by . The governor announced her renewal of the public health emergency order on Friday would be the final one, and it would expire on March 31. 100% Reporting *Incumbent. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Michelle Lujan Grisham leading Republican Mark Ronchetti 49 percent to 46 percent, following two polls over the weekend that showed the Democrat with heftier 7- or 8-point leads. Recent polling had the New Mexico governor's race tight in the last few weeks. Lujan Grisham leading her Republican opponent Mark Ronchetti narrowly, 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, with 1 percent backing Libertarian nominee Karen Bedonie. ET. Related: Poll: Lujan Grisham even approval/disapproval ratings. FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS: REPUBLICANS EXPECTED TO CONTROL HOUSE, BUT BOTH PARTIES HOLD ON TO PATHWAYS IN SENATE. Lujan Grisham ahead by 3.5%. Wikipedia; Utah . In 2018 and 2020, those votes after noon ET on Wednesday were slightly in favor of Democrats, but they shifted the vote totals by less than 1% of the vote. Prior to being elected governor, she represented the 1st Congressional District in the US House for three terms and chaired the Congressional Hispanic Caucus during the 115th Congress. Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham was re-elected in 2022 with 52.0% of the vote. 213 -10. mesurer votre utilisation de nos sites et applications. New gubernatorial polling results show the race for New Mexico's Governor tightening up. Lujan Grishams lead also largely comes thanks to Hispanic or Latino voters, 64 percent of whom would vote for the incumbent, compared to 28 percent for Ronchetti and 3 percent for Bedonie. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Period. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Lujan Grisham leading her Republican opponent Mark Ronchetti narrowly, 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, with 1 percent backing Libertarian nominee Karen Bedonie. By Robert Nott, The Santa Fe New Mexican When it comes to school lunches, Alejandro Najera laid it out straight for the lawmakers. Voters also are considering a constitutional amendment that could increase funding for early childhood and K-12 education by hundreds of millions of dollars if it is approved statewide referendum. On Tuesday, FBI Director Christopher Wray told Fox News the COVID-19 pandemic was likely caused by a lab leak in Wuhan, China, a theory . A new poll commissioned by NM Political Report shows that incumbent Gov. The poll is by the Trafalgar group, a political and corporate survey company. Like Donald Trump, [Ronchetti] would attempt to drain funding from public schools, rip away health care from New Mexicans, and ban abortion in our state, she wrote. View New Mexico's election results and maps for the 2022 midterm elections. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. However, GOP gains in 2022 are not a given. Political news website Real Clear Politics averaged all the current polling data together. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Email notifications are only sent once a day, and only if there are new matching items. PHOENIX (AP) Kari Lake, the Republican who lost the Arizona governor's race to Democrat Katie Hobbs, has asked the state Supreme Court to review her . This was one of 36 gubernatorial elections that took place place in 2022. The New Mexico GOP is looking to unseat Democratic Gov. Polls open at 9 a.m. By Robert Nott, The Santa Fe New Mexican When it comes to school lunches, Alejandro Najera laid it out straight for the lawmakers. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percent for topline questions, while subpopulations will have larger margins of error. 6. The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. This means the elections officials make sure the ballot is cast legally. In the southwestern part of the state, including Las Cruces, Lujan Grisham led 48 percent to 38 percent for Ronchetti. Ronchetti is a former meteorologist and former Republican U.S. Senate candidate. Joe Biden won the state by 11 percentage points in 2020, but Republicans at the same time unseated a one-term Democratic congresswoman in a district along the U.S. border with Mexico. L 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. The poll by Public Policy Polling shows Lujan Grisham leads Ronchetti 45 percent to 42 percent, with Libertarian Karen Bedonie receiving 9 percent [] AP will revisit those races later in the week to confirm there arent enough outstanding votes left to count that could change the outcome. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. KOBs poll conducted after the gubernatorial debate on KOB on Sept. 30 put the governor ahead by 16 points. Lujan Grisham is seeking a second term after winning the election in 2018, easily defeating Steve Pearce, now the chairman of the Republican Party of New Mexico. Bedonie lost in the 2020 3rd Congressional District Republican primary. With 23 days before the November election, New Mexico Democrats held a rally with Planned Parenthood and NARAL Pro-Choice America national leaders in Las Cruces on Saturday to discuss the importance of abortion rights. 2022 general november 8, 2022. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Additionally, 60,088 voters have cast early-in-person ballots. Incumbents typically have an advantage in elections, but not always. Another 6 percent are undecided. RacetotheWH is already forecasting the . In doing so, we will make clear that the AP has not declared a winner and explain why. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. She will be term-limited by the New Mexico Constitution in 2026 and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term. 2018: Lujan Grisham (D) +14.3|2014: Martinez (R) +14.6, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:Dem HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|NM-1|NM-2|NM-3, 2020:President|Senate|NM-22018:Senate|Governor|NM-1|NM-22016:President2014:Governor|Senate|NM-22012:President|Senate|NM-12010:Governor|NM-1|NM-2|NM-3, New Mexico Governor - Ronchetti vs. Lujan Grisham. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. Based on their survey, they put Ronchetti in the lead with 46% of the vote compared to 45% for Gov. Si vous souhaitez personnaliser vos choix, cliquez sur Grer les paramtres de confidentialit. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. You have permission to edit this article. Ronchetti, Grisham's challenger, is a certified meteorologist and worked as the chief meteorologist for Albuquerque's CBS and FOX affiliates. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? Polls on Election Day close at 9 p.m. Eastern time, with the first results coming in by 9:30 p.m. The governor has accused her Republican challenger of pursuing an extremist agenda that includes banning abortion in New Mexico, which Ronchetti has denied. As a result, once the house returns to full. In the 2020 general election, AP first reported results just before 9:30 p.m. Not all percentages will add up to 100 percent because of rounding. With 23 days before the November election, New Mexico Democrats held a rally with Planned Parenthood and NARAL Pro-Choice America national leaders in Las Cruces on Saturday to discuss the importance of abortion rights. Notice any bugs or missing polls? . Senate. The Polls Have Closed In New Mexico. Gov. At . Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster. A bill to expand the scope of the New Mexico Human Rights Act to include protections for the LGBTQ community passed the House by 47-to-20. However, Republicans are feeling bullish about their chances in New Mexico, thanks to a more favorable national environment in 2022. Trump hammered the governor on New Mexico crime rates, drug and human trafficking at the U.S.-Mexico border, and promised Ronchetti best known as a longtime meteorologist for KRQE-TV who ran . Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Poll: Lujan Grisham even approval/disapproval ratings, Slight majority of voters give thumbs up to Gov on COVID response, House passes bill to protect LGBTQ community from discrimination, Senate passes 1st major gun control law of session, Lujan Grisham to end state's COVID-19 public health emergency, APD investigating alleged political shooting mastermind's campaign finances, Lujan Grisham outlines legislative priorities at inauguration, 2022 Top Stories #4: Democrats sweep congressional races, New Mexico Democrats hold abortion rights rally in Las Cruces, Poll: Lujan Grisham leads governors race by 8 points, Poll: Lujan Grisham widens lead over Ronchetti, Legislator: Democrats have crucial time to pass reproductive legislation, Michelle Lujan Grisham wins a second-term after bruising campaign, How a new governor could impact reproductive policy, Senator: Mountain unlikely to get confirmation hearing during session, Governor nominates regents for New Mexico colleges and universities, Poll: Narrow lead for Lujan Grisham in gubernatorial race, Polls: Lujan Grisham leads by high single digits in reelection campaign; Dems lead in other key races, Poll shows majority of NM voters support abortion rights, Lujan Grisham to end states COVID-19 public health emergency, Bill supporting Game and Fish youth programs passes Senate, Bilingual education advocates push for an increased focus, opportunities, Bill requiring EV charging capabilities in new home construction advances, Another medical malpractice fix bill tabled. Michelle Lujan Grisham, Eddie Moore/AP; Insider, state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Democratic Primary Results. In this case, we happen to have a female Hispanic candidate, too, which might amplify that.. Projected winner. It had a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. An email message containing instructions on how to reset your password has been sent to the e-mail address listed on your account. State Rep. Linda Serrato, D-Santa Fe, called the next two years crucial to passing reproductive rights legislation. Ronchetti leads among white voters, with 47 percent of support compared to 43 percent for Lujan Grisham and 5 percent for Bedonie. Mark [has] my Total Endorsement.. The seat has flipped between parties in the last two elections. A Maryland man has sued a local bar for allegedly banning him from their establishment because he's an "old, white man" Filed on Feb. 18th, the lawsuit says Neal Glessner, 52, used to spend $500 a week at Dan's Restaurant and Taphouse until he was abruptly banned one day allegedly because of his age and race. The 2022 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New Mexico.The election coincided with various other federal and state elections.Primary elections were held on June 7. By Daniel J. Chacn Pour en savoir plus sur la faon dont nous utilisons vos donnes personnelles, veuillez consulter notre politique relative la vie prive et notre politique en matire de cookies. Here are some of the closest - and most closely watched. Mark Ronchetti is outstanding, the former Republican president wrote. By Margaret O'Hara, The Santa Fe New Mexican Students from Jos Eduardo Cervantes' third-grade class at Bernalillo Elementary School are in agreement: It's good to be bilingual. This is the name that will be used to identify you within the system. The poll, conducted by Emerson College Polling for the Washington D.C. paper The Hill, showed incumbent Gov. 50. The poll of likely voters in New Mexico shows Grisham receiving 48 percent support compared to Ronchetti's 43 percent when respondents were asked That speed comes, in part, because elections officials can start validating absentee ballots starting five days prior to Election Day. SANTA FE, N.M. The latest poll on the race for the governor in New Mexico is giving Republican Mark Ronchetti a slight edge in the race. This article is about the U.S. state of Utah. Drone strike hits 60 miles from Moscow, Russian death toll surpasses all . February 22, 2023 at 4:00 p.m. The governor serves as a state's top executive official and is the only executive office that is elected in all 50 states. Q: What Do Turnout And Advance Vote Look Like? Among other races and ethnicities, Lujan Grisham leads 49 percent to 27 percent over Ronchetti, with 7 percent supporting Bedonie. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! The margin of error, though, is +/- 4.4 . The new poll suggests the race is tightening as Election Day gets closer. Contests and special offers from The Santa Fe New Mexican and advertising partners. By Susan Dunne. RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to . Michelle Lujan Grisham. Donald Trump is leading a new hypothetical 10-way Republican primary poll, easily beating Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. OXON HILL, Md. Lujan Grisham, a former congresswoman, won 57% of the vote for governor in 2018 a margin of 14 percentage points. 2:56. ATCOSTTEHMEMER (Democrat) 22. In an open race for attorney general, Democrats are backing the well-known district attorney from the states largest city. 2020 New Mexico State House - District 21 Election Results. Men very slightly favor Ronchetti, 43 percent to 42 percent over Lujan Grisham with 8 percent backing Bedonie. ET and close at 9 p.m. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. Ronchetti, meanwhile, leads among white voters with 54 percent choosing him, compared to 32 percent for Lujan Grisham and 11 percent for Bedonie. Your e-mail address will be used to confirm your account. The states COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end at the end of March, a little more than three years after the governor first issued her executive order over the deadly respiratory illness. Follow along with our live blog for the latest coverage and updates. New Mexico Governor -. Nearly one in five registered voters in New Mexico have cast ballots absentee or in person so far, according to data released Monday morning by the New Mexico Secretary of States Office. Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Updated Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:16 a.m. Eastern. Michelle Lujan Grisham is running against Mark Ronchetti. Opinion Polls: Delphi's Polling Place - Welcome to Arizona - I realize that the article is from New Mexico and may not have their facts straight, but I couldn't help but notice that New Mexico is not the only state receiving Arizona patients. Get up-to-the-minute news sent straight to your device. New Mexico Governor Primary Election Results. Based on that, Real Clear Politics puts Gov. The poll of 1,254 likely voters was conducted from Oct. 20-27. (Wikicommons) Aretha Franklin, 1968. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Opinion poll analysis site FiveThirtyEight gives the Trafalgar group a grade of A- when it comes to poll accuracy. Fox News Flash top headlines for November 3, Marianne Williamson launches campaign against Biden, vows to fight 'forces of hatred, injustice and fear', Trump overwhelmingly wins CPAC's Republican primary straw poll with DeSantis coming in a distant second, Texas GOP votes to censure Rep. Tony Gonzales over votes on same-sex marriage, guns and border security, Ohio Republican Secretary of State 'actively' considering Senate run against Sherrod Brown. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. It called over 93% of races right, and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. 17, 2022 district 53 98% est. ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (AP) A 14-year-old New Mexico boy accused of shooting and killing a classmate in 2021 has pleaded no contest to a charge of second-degree murder, prosecutors said Thursday. New Mexico's best political reporting. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. The remaining votes, in 2020, were counted by 7:30 p.m. Invalid password or account does not exist. We're projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022. Vous pouvez modifier vos choix tout moment en cliquant sur le lien Tableau de bord sur la vie prive prsent sur nos sites et dans nos applications. Republicans have held the office only three times in the states 110-year history. Bedonie had a write-in opponent. New Mexico begins certification process for midterm elections Process has become a focal point for those voicing distrust in voting systems Published: Tuesday, November 15th, 2022 at 10:55PM as well as other partner offers and accept our. As it turns out, the two most likely seats to flip may be Maryland and Massachusetts, where popular Republican governors are leaving office, and the GOP . 51 +1. A: There can be a slight shift in votes counted after noon ET on the day after Election Day. Live New Mexico election results from the 2022 midterm elections including Senate and House races and ballot initiatives. Copyright 2015-2023, NM Political Report. Lorsque vous utilisez nos sites et applications, nous utilisons des, authentifier les utilisateurs, appliquer des mesures de scurit, empcher les spams et les abus; et. State Rep. Linda Serrato, D-Santa Fe, called the next two years crucial to passing reproductive rights legislation. KOB-TV, LLC Presidential Senate House Governors . Democrats 36 seats not up for election. With 100,000 votes counted, the San Francisco Board of Elections put votes for the recall of Chesa Boudin, the district attorney, at 61 percent. Find your local elections. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) is statistically tied with Republican challenger Mark Ronchetti in the state's latest gubernatorial poll. Gov. Ronchetti did really well in Farmington, but thatll be somewhat offset by the rest of the northwest region, including in McKinley County which is very Democrat, Sanderoff said. Legal Statement. Ronchetti has advocated for a ban on abortion after 15 weeks of pregnancy, except in cases of rape, incest and when a mothers life is at risk. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican At the halfway point of the 60-day legislative session, New Mexico's proposed budget is halfway to the governor's desk. RT @LawlYayman1: Do you approve of my time as Governor & Senator of New Mexico in @IMESims? A majority of New Mexico voters want a new governor to replace Democrat Gov. Other polls have also given the governor an edge in the race. State of Utah Submitting this form below will send a message to your email with a link to change your password. While were still seeing COVID cases, our preparedness and collaborative work have helped turn a once-in-a-century public health emergency into a manageable situation, Lujan Grisham said in a statement on Friday. All votes were tallied by 7:30 p.m. Thursday. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? District 21. As of Oct. 24, New Mexico voters have requested 94,524 absentee ballots and 23,450 have been returned. Michelle Lujan Grisham. All rights reserved. Lujan Grisham won the 2018 gubernatorial campaign 57.2 percent to 42.8 percent over Steve Pearce, the Republican candidate and now chair of the Republican Party of New Mexico. March 02, 2023. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Poll: Lujan Grisham approval rating at 46 percent, Majority of voters back tapping Land Grant Permanent Fund, House passes bill to protect LGBTQ community from discrimination, Senate passes 1st major gun control law of session, Lujan Grisham to end state's COVID-19 public health emergency, New Mexico Democrats hold abortion rights rally in Las Cruces, Poll: Lujan Grisham widens lead over Ronchetti, Poll: Lujan Grisham maintains small lead over Ronchetti, Legislator: Democrats have crucial time to pass reproductive legislation, Michelle Lujan Grisham wins a second-term after bruising campaign, How a new governor could impact reproductive policy, Senator: Mountain unlikely to get confirmation hearing during session, Governor nominates regents for New Mexico colleges and universities, Poll: Narrow lead for Lujan Grisham in gubernatorial race, Polls: Lujan Grisham leads by high single digits in reelection campaign; Dems lead in other key races, Poll shows majority of NM voters support abortion rights, Lujan Grisham to end states COVID-19 public health emergency, Bill supporting Game and Fish youth programs passes Senate, Bilingual education advocates push for an increased focus, opportunities, Bill requiring EV charging capabilities in new home construction advances, Another medical malpractice fix bill tabled. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Some think not. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) holds a 3-percentage point lead over Republican Mark Ronchetti in the New Mexico gubernatorial race, according to a new Emerson College Polling-The Hill survey relea He will be tough & smart on Crime, the Border & everything else. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - New Mexico Governor - Ronchetti vs. Lujan Grisham AndrzejDuda2020 (Legalist) 14. New Jersey Governor Elections. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Stay informed of the latest local news by receiving emails as soon as news is posted online. Some counties may have no shift toward one candidate or the other, while other counties can see shifts up to 10% of the vote. Michelle Lujan Grisham continues to lead the gubernatorial race, with the support of just under 50 percent of likely voters. 9. New Mexico. New Mexico's gubernatorial candidates. Nous, Yahoo, faisons partie de la famille de marques Yahoo. Delaney Corcoran, a spokeswoman for Lujan Grishams reelection campaign, wrote in a statement the governor isnt taking a single vote for granted. Read more about the methodology. The poll of 806 likely voters was conducted by Public Policy Polling on Oct. 6 and 7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points. Michelle Lujan Grisham in her race for reelection this year, according to a recent internal polling memo. New Mexico's 1st District. Follow Daniel J. Chacn on Twitter @danieljchacon. With Democrats maintaining a large lead in the state House of Representatives and Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham reelected for another four years, the Legislature is in a position to pass reproductive rights legislation, according to a Democratic legislator. But, there is a nearly 3% margin of error, effectively making the race too close to call. 28 Feb 2023 01:46:32 The state voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election cycle since 1992, excluding 2004. Note as well that the vote shift is not uniform across all counties and all races. The Sanderoff poll showed Lujan Grisham leading among female voters 55 percent compared with 38 percent for Ronchetti. We know that the next New Mexico treasurer will be named Montoya. With Democrats maintaining a large lead in the state House of Representatives and Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham reelected for another four years, the Legislature is in a position to pass reproductive rights legislation, according to a Democratic legislator. Estimated remaining 9,968. AP will tabulate and declare winners in 55 contested elections in New Mexico, including Governor, three U.S. House races, seven other statewide races and six statewide ballot issues. Michelle Lujan Grisham won re-election on Tuesday, defeating will defeat GOP candidate and local news weatherman Mark Ronchetti. Republican Garrey Carruthers won 53% of the vote that year over Democrat Ray Powell as President Ronald . April 23, 2021 - New Mexico's next gubernatorial election is a year and a half away - not a long time when it comes to political campaigning. According to the poll done by Emerson College, Gov. Albuquerque is located in Bernalillo County. A poll released on Monday showed a closer race than two other polls released earlier in the week. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. New Hampshire. Last weekend, Sandoval County Commissioner Jay Block was the first Republican to publicly announce his candidacy; GOP candidate Karen Bedonie joined the race this week. New Mexico voters head to the polls on Tuesday to cast their ballots for the governor, the House, state Supreme Court and several down-ballot seats. Ronchetti gets the support of 74 percent of Republicans, while Lujan Grisham has the support of 11 percent and Bedonie 9 percent. For more information, visit cnn.com/election. Mar 1, 2023 Updated Mar 1, 2023. 2023-24 Governor Interactive Map 2023-24 Pundit Forecasts 2022 Governor Polls 2022 Governor Election Results. Close to 300 people attended the rally at Albert Johnson Park, next to Las Cruces City Hall. View all Michelle Lujan Grisham articles . Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. In the state House of Representatives, Democrats are defending a 45-24 majority as one unaffiliated legislator and the House speaker retire. View New Mexico's Governor midterm election results and maps for the 2022 midterm elections. ABUJA (Reuters) -Nigeria's new president-elect, Bola Tinubu, on Wednesday defended the integrity of the national election that he won, and called on citizens to unite around . The filing deadline was March 24, 2022. Redistricting after the 2020 census has made U.S. House District 2 more competitive, by adding more Democrats to the district. Mondays Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll, which was conducted Oct. 25-28 and released Monday by KRQE-TV, said with undecided voters support accounted for, the race tightens to Lujan Grisham with 50 percent to Ronchettis 48 percent. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.02 percentage points. NM Political Report (https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2022/06/20/poll-lujan-grisham-with-narrow-lead-at-start-of-general-election/). Market data provided by Factset. The poll by Public Policy Polling shows Lujan Grisham leads Ronchetti 45 percent to 42 percent, with Libertarian Karen Bedonie receiving 9 percent and 5 percent saying theyre not sure. The poll showed Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Karen Bedonie with 3 percent of the vote and 5 percent of voters undecided.